Editorials & Opinion

EXPANDED EDITION: We rediscover pre-contest Eurovision odds from 1998 to 2021!

🇺🇦 Kyiv 2017

Date of final: 13 May 2017
Odds recorded: 21 April 2017 (22 days before the final)
Source: Oddschecker (highest available odds)

  • The winning entry was placed 4th in the odds.
  • 80% of the eventual top 5 at Eurovision placed inside the top 5 of the odds.
  • 73% of the eventual top 15 at Eurovision placed inside the top 15 of the odds.
RankOddsCountryEntryEurovision Placing
113/10🇮🇹 ItalyFrancesco Gabbani – Occidentali’s Karma6th
213/2🇧🇬 BulgariaKristian Kostov – Beautiful Mess2nd
39/1🇸🇪 SwedenRobin Bengtsson – I Can’t Go On5th
414/1🇵🇹 PortugalSalvador Sobral – Amar Pelos Dois1st
520/1🇧🇪 BelgiumBlanche – City Lights4th
633/1🇦🇺 AustraliaIsaiah – Don’t Come Easy9th
733/1🇦🇲 ArmeniaArtsvik – Fly With Me18th
840/1🇫🇷 FranceAlma – Requiem12th
950/1🇦🇿 AzerbaijanDihaj – Skeletons14th
1050/1🇩🇰 DenmarkAnja – Where I Am20th
1150/1🇭🇺 HungaryJoci Pápai – Origo8th
1266/1🇬🇷 GreeceDemy – This Is Love19th
1380/1🇷🇴 RomaniaIlinca ft. Alex Florea – Yodel It!7th
14100/1🇳🇱 NetherlandsOG3NE – Lights And Shadows11th
15100/1🇪🇪 EstoniaKoit Toome & Laura – VeronaSF (14th)

🇵🇹 Lisbon 2018

Date of final: 12 May 2018
Odds recorded: 16 April 2018 (26 days before the final)
Source: Sky Bet

  • The winning entry was placed 1st in the odds.
  • 20% of the eventual top 5 at Eurovision placed inside the top 5 of the odds.
  • 60% of the eventual top 15 at Eurovision placed inside the top 15 of the odds.
RankOddsCountryEntryEurovision Placing
17/4🇮🇱 IsraelNetta – TOY1st
211/2🇧🇬 BulgariaEQUINOX – Bones14th
313/2🇨🇿 Czech RepublicMikolas Josef – Lie To Me6th
48/1🇦🇺 AustraliaJessica Mauboy – We Got Love20th
59/1🇪🇪 EstoniaElina Nechayeva – La Forza8th
616/1🇸🇪 SwedenBenjamin Ingrosso – Dance You Off7th
720/1🇫🇷 FranceMadame Monsieur – Mercy13th
820/1🇳🇴 NorwayAlexander Rybak – That’s How You Write A Song15th
925/1🇧🇪 BelgiumSennek – A Matter Of TimeSF (12th)
1025/1🇪🇸 SpainAmaia & Alfred – Tu Canción23rd
1128/1🇬🇷 GreeceYianna Terzi – Oniro MouSF (14th)
1233/1🇮🇹 ItalyErmal Meta & Fabrizio Moro – Non Mi Avete Fatto Niente5th
1340/1🇳🇱 NetherlandsWaylon – Outlaw In ‘Em18th
1450/1🇫🇮 FinlandSaara Aalto – Monsters25th
1566/1🇦🇹 AustriaCesár Sampson – Nobody But You3rd

🇮🇱 Tel Aviv 2019

Date of final: 18 May 2019
Odds recorded: 13 April 2019 (35 days before the final)
Source: Eurovision World (lowest available odds)

  • The winning entry was placed 1st in the odds.
  • 100% of the eventual top 5 at Eurovision placed inside the top 5 of the odds.
  • 73% of the eventual top 15 at Eurovision placed inside the top 15 of the odds.
RankOddsCountryEntryEurovision Placing
13/2🇳🇱 NetherlandsDuncan Laurence – Arcade1st
219/4🇨🇭 SwitzerlandLuca Hänni – She Got Me4th
35/1🇷🇺 RussiaSergey Lazarev – Scream3rd
413/2🇮🇹 ItalyMahmood – Soldi2nd
57/1🇸🇪 SwedenJohn Lundvik – Too Late For Love5th
612/1🇮🇸 IcelandHatari – Hatrið mun sigra10th
720/1🇨🇾 CyprusTamta – Replay13th
825/1🇳🇴 NorwayKEiiNO – Spirit In The Sky6th
925/1🇵🇹 PortugalConan Osíris – TelemóveisSF (15th)
1028/1🇬🇷 GreeceKaterine Duska – Better Love21st
1128/1🇲🇹 MaltaMichela – Chameleon14th
1233/1🇦🇲 ArmeniaSrbuk – Walking OutSF (16th)
1333/1🇩🇰 DenmarkLeonora – Love Is Forever12th
1433/1🇫🇷 FranceBilal Hassani – Roi16th
1533/1🇸🇮 SloveniaZala Kralj & GaÅ¡per Å antl – Sebi15th

🇪🇺 Eurovision 2020

Date of final: Cancelled
Odds recorded: 18 March 2020 (date of cancellation)
Source: Eurovision World (lowest available odds)

RankOddsCountryEntry
14/1🇧🇬 BulgariaVICTORIA – Tears Getting Sober
24/1🇷🇺 RussiaLittle Big – Uno
34/1🇨🇭 SwitzerlandGjon’s Tears – Répondez-moi
422/5🇱🇹 LithuaniaThe Roop – On Fire
59/2🇮🇸 IcelandDaði og Gagnamagnið – Think About Things
611/2🇮🇹 ItalyDiodato – Fai Rumore
78/1🇩🇪 GermanyBen Dolic – Violent Thing
89/1🇷🇴 RomaniaROXEN – Alcohol You
910/1🇲🇹 MaltaDestiny – All Of My Love
1012/1🇦🇿 AzerbaijanEfendi – Cleopatra
1118/1🇸🇪 SwedenThe Mamas – Move
1219/1🇳🇴 NorwayUlrikke – Attention
1320/1🇦🇺 AustraliaMontaigne – Don’t Break Me
1425/1🇩🇰 DenmarkBen & Tan – YES
1525/1🇳🇱 NetherlandsJeangu Macrooy – Grow

Our journey down memory lane and our final analysis continues on the next page…

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